The bad password error means the login server is up but is having issues with some code put in place to prevent a buffer overrun exploit. If you receive a message stating it could not connect, but you can get to the forums, that means user intervention will be required by one of the admins. Therefore, there isn't really an ETA for either.
However, based on my server logs, the bad password reports last night lasted for about 2 hours before they went away on their own.
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